Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.372559 0.441506 0.518442 0.610481 0.717413 0.837546 0.982549
2025-01-19 0.267215 0.355360 0.464311 0.608139 0.792191 1.018918 1.318366
2025-01-26 0.219033 0.316958 0.447329 0.632020 0.885065 1.217452 1.684543
2025-02-02 0.200659 0.310814 0.466445 0.699599 1.036600 1.501883 2.187685
2025-02-09 0.175513 0.289130 0.458470 0.725134 1.129249 1.712121 2.607705
2025-02-16 0.147899 0.258199 0.431043 0.716148 1.167496 1.845086 2.926350
2025-02-23 0.122743 0.226494 0.396996 0.690813 1.175358 1.930367 3.178050
2025-03-02 0.101369 0.197302 0.362311 0.658742 1.166841 1.986700 3.386518
2025-03-09 0.092653 0.188884 0.361046 0.681572 1.249361 2.193081 3.849392
2025-03-16 0.078563 0.168130 0.335092 0.657676 1.248864 2.261816 4.090419
2025-03-23 0.071707 0.160197 0.331232 0.672590 1.316981 2.450582 4.547334
2025-03-30 0.065433 0.152399 0.326467 0.684881 1.380881 2.636355 5.012636
2025-04-06 0.057508 0.140205 0.312167 0.678451 1.411815 2.770860 5.407472
2025-04-13 0.050942 0.129922 0.300422 0.675805 1.450035 2.922704 5.848468
2025-04-20 0.047685 0.126611 0.302768 0.702125 1.547621 3.193032 6.530576
2025-04-27 0.048418 0.132892 0.326658 0.776571 1.749579 3.678556 7.657512
2025-05-04 0.045540 0.129799 0.329148 0.804686 1.857991 3.989937 8.470753
2025-05-11 0.040464 0.120206 0.315367 0.794793 1.884580 4.140336 8.977964
2025-05-18 0.034978 0.108500 0.294889 0.766895 1.868826 4.202739 9.312266
2025-05-25 0.029839 0.096739 0.272521 0.731568 1.832426 4.218413 9.550716
2025-06-01 0.028276 0.094917 0.275003 0.756717 1.936308 4.538976 10.448841
2025-06-08 0.024559 0.085986 0.257688 0.730394 1.917172 4.591932 10.781357
2025-06-15 0.023031 0.083479 0.257195 0.746824 2.001282 4.877679 11.636122